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MFA FINANCIAL, INC. (MFA)·Q1 2020 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2020 was dominated by COVID-19 market dislocation, margin calls (~$800M in two weeks), asset sales, and elevated impairments, resulting in a GAAP net loss of $908.995M and diluted EPS of -$2.02; GAAP book value fell to $4.34 per share and economic book value to $4.09 .
- Management negotiated successive forbearance agreements (Apr 10, Apr 27, Jun 1) to stabilize liquidity; repurchase obligations fell ~35% since Apr 10 to ~$3.8B as of May 29 via asset sales and margin call payoff .
- Strategic capital solution announced mid-June: $500M senior secured notes and >$2B in term, non‑mark‑to‑market financing with Apollo/Athene and dealers; pro forma ~60%+ financing non‑mark‑to‑market, reducing margin-call risk and enabling securitizations .
- Dividends on common and preferred were suspended for Q1 and Q2 to preserve liquidity and due to forbearance covenants; management aims to meet REIT distribution requirements and resume preferred/common dividends when feasible .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Negotiated three forbearance agreements that “provided time to manage our balance sheet and liquidity” and source third-party capital; lenders were repaid in full upon exit .
- Announced a strategic partnership with Apollo/Athene: $500M notes, ~$1.65B committed term non‑mark‑to‑market facility for loans, warrants for 7.5% of common; expected to materially improve durability of funding and enable securitizations .
- Asset sales executed at materially better prices than late-March prints; April non‑agency/CRT/MSR sales generated over $150M gains versus March 31 marks, mitigating book value erosion .
What Went Wrong
- Severe market stress triggered ~$800M margin calls in mid/late March; inability to meet all margin calls led to forbearance and suspension of dividends .
- Large P&L charges: $419.7M impairments on securities/MSR-related assets, $238.4M realized losses on securities/loans, $77.961M unrealized losses on securities at fair value, and $150.827M CECL/valuation provisions, driving a $908.995M net loss .
- MSR-related term notes required a $280.8M impairment given intent/need to sell; swaps were unwound with $71.2M losses held in AOCI, increasing interest expense and reducing earnings capacity near term .
Financial Results
Income Statement (YoY comparison)
Key P&L Drivers (Q1 2020 detail)
Balance Sheet & Portfolio Composition
Residential Whole Loans (carrying value)
Securities & MSR-Related Assets (fair value)
Liquidity & Financing KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: No formal revenue/margin/OpEx guidance provided; management focused on liquidity, durable financing, and securitization pipeline .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “These critical efforts have been comprised primarily of three things; one, forbearance; two, balance sheet and liquidity management; and three, sourcing third party capital… forbearance agreements have provided us with the time to manage our balance sheet and liquidity… Many of our asset sales… generated over $150 million of realized gains versus March 31 marks” – Craig Knutson, CEO .
- “We have entered into an agreement with Apollo and Athene to raise $500 million… and a committed term borrowing facility with Barclays of approximately $1.65 billion… Pro forma… approximately 60% of the company's financing will be in the form of non-mark-to-market funding” – Craig Knutson .
- “Our first quarter financial results… resulted in a loss of $914 million or $2.02 per share. Book value decreased to $4.34 per share… economic book value decreased to $4.09” – Craig Knutson .
- “MFA received almost $800 million in margin calls during the weeks of March 16th and March 23rd… we announced on March 24th that we had not met margin calls… and initiated forbearance discussions” – Craig Knutson .
Q&A Highlights
- Incremental cost of non‑mark‑to‑market facilities: “slightly more expensive… advance rates are lower… we’ll provide more robust disclosure on cost structure on the Q2 call” – CEO .
- Investment dry powder post-transactions: “hundreds of millions of dollars” – CEO .
- Leverage outlook: “likely within the twos… securitization provides different type of leverage” – CEO .
- Dividends: common dividend likely after catching up preferred; guidance suggests re-establishment in second half if feasible – CEO .
- Securitization timing and stack: targeting below-AAA tranches; pools ready; one to two days from pricing in March – CEO .
- CECL methodology and reserve migration: macro assumptions adjusted; collateral-dependent analysis for 60+ day delinquents – CFO .
Estimates Context
Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2020 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to API request limit constraints during retrieval. As a result, no estimate comparison is presented here. If needed, we can refresh and add this section once SPGI access is restored.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 loss was driven by extraordinary market stress and conscious de‑risking (impairments, CECL provisions, asset sales); the operational pivot has likely reduced future margin‑call risk materially .
- Pro forma funding mix moves toward term, non‑mark‑to‑market debt (and securitization), enhancing durability; under‑levered repo provides margin cushion in remaining mark‑to‑market exposure .
- Securitization market for Non‑QM appears open with competitive spreads; MFA’s pipeline and committed purchasers (Athene) are catalysts for spread capture and funding cost reduction .
- Dividends suspended in Q1/Q2; management intends to meet REIT distribution requirements and resume preferred payments first, with common distributions potentially later as liquidity normalizes .
- Near‑term trading: stock likely sensitive to updates on securitization execution, financing costs, delinquency migration under CECL, and dividend resumption timelines .
- Medium‑term thesis: a re‑shaped portfolio (94% whole loans) financed with durable structures positions MFA to rebuild earnings power and book value as markets stabilize; asset selection and loss mitigation remain critical .
Notes on Sources and Availability
- Earnings press release (8‑K Item 2.02): June 3, 2020 filing with extended forbearance/dividend update .
- Q1 2020 10‑Q: detailed financials for quarter ended March 31, 2020 .
- Q1 2020 earnings call transcript: June 16, 2020 .
- April 13 and April 29 8‑K company updates/second forbearance, liquidity/cash figures .
Where prior quarter transcripts were unavailable due to document retrieval errors, we used forward Q2 2020 call context for trend orientation .